A revolution is coming, not an industrial, political, or social revolution, but rather a techno-economical revolution. (Hey it’s my blog, I’m allowed to make up words). What does this all mean, you might ask, well don’t worry I’ll try to explain in more detail. Simply put the techno-economical revolution represents the execution of artificial intelligence into everyday economics. Some call it Automation – machines replacing jobs once performed by humans, but automation is just one small aspect of this revolution. The revolution also includes Machine Learning, “Artificial Intelligence”, and Deep Learning. All things that I’m way too dumb to explain, but you can quickly google. Anyways, bottom line is machines, if not already, will replace your job. And the scary part is that it’s not that far off from the future. Take a look at this chart I borrowed from Wikipedia, it shows the progression of Moore’s law from 1971-2011. The amount of microprocessor transistors is INSANE, and this does not include advances in quantum computing (which is an entirely different rabbit trail).
The Rise of the Machines!
Well I’m not too worried about a dystopian terminator-esque future, where we’re all slaves of the machine… although the threat is very real. Hey if Elon Musk, Bill Gates, and Stephen Hawking are worried about it…that’s nothing to sneeze at. I’m more concerned about the near future, let’s say the next 20 – 30 years. I’ll be an old fart by then, but my daughter will (hopefully) be finishing up college or starting a career. I predict AI in some form or fashion will be implemented in our everyday daily lives – I’m talking about driver-less cars, predictive intelligent software that integrate with super smart homes, and physical AI customer service (think robots that can serve you – most recent example of this is the bartender in film “Passengers”. See clip below:
This is going to have a REAL impact on everyone’s lives, and while we’re all concerned (primarily the media) about what or who a certain president is colluding with, AI is going to steadily progress and get faster, better, and cheaper.
What Do We Do!? We Can’t Stop the Revolution!
The simple answer is this, if you can’t stop them, join them! Insert your brain into the AI hivemind and all will be well, shhh just relax and enjoy the halcyon rhythms of connection between man and machine. or NOT. Well we certainly we can’t stop the revolution, science will do what it does to advance. So what now? Well, as automa.tion and machine assistance / AI become more commonplace, there will arise a need for more human connection. There will also be new jobs created, jobs that we can’t even think of yet, as they are yet to be invented. My wife’ grandmother, who sadly recently passed, grew up in the late 1930s, and 1940s, she couldn’t even predict color television coming into her life, much less something called the internet. Humans are terrible at predicting the future… if they were great at it, people would all be prosperous and the world wouldn’t have any problems.
In any case there’s no use worrying about what will be, only that there will be change. Much like farmers in the 1900s whose jobs were eventually replaced by machines and more efficient methods of agriculture, many of our existing jobs too will be replaced. Some of my terrible predictions include – Accountants, Data Analysts, Attorneys, Medical Professions, Cashiers, and Traffic Cops (one could only hope – no offense traffic cops). The problem not comes from these jobs or other jobs being phased out, more recently auto-workers, but rather holding onto the past and hoping that these jobs would be returned (and not doing anything about it). Vocational training and education would be the best path to overcoming these job shortfalls.
What do you think? Am I completely off base? Still interested? If you are take a look at this Ted Talk –https://www.ted.com/talks/david_autor_why_are_there_still_so_many_jobs
Thanks everyone and have a great evening!